TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two soccer teams in a professional league match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, reflecting how decisively one side outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in a professional EFL League One soccer match between Peterborough and Luton, scheduled for October 31, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Peterborough winning by more than 2.5 goals, Peterborough winning by more than 1.5 goals, Luton winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Luton winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the Peterborough vs Luton match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Peterborough vs Luton match, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be determined by the rules governing the market on Kalshi. Traders should review those rules to understand how the final result will be applied to determine winning and losing contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes for either Peterborough or Luton could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule, such as a venue change or postponement, could also cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant matches or broader shifts in public sentiment regarding the teams’ performance could all contribute to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.