TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Pesaro and Grosseto. Bettors can speculate on whether Pesaro, Grosseto, or neither (a tie) will win the match within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Pesaro vs Grosseto professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if Pesaro, Grosseto, or neither (tie) achieves victory under these conditions. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant disparity exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. The difference often comes down to differing information and perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, allowing traders to set their own prices and create liquidity, leading to a dynamic and responsive market for the Pesaro vs Grosseto match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pesaro vs Grosseto match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting profits or losses after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, analysis from sports commentators, pre-match interviews, and even social media discussions can all play a role. A significant upset in another match involving either team could also affect the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will likely cause fluctuations in this market.