TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Perugia and Vado. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The market allows for three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Perugia vs Vado professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins, while the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event exclusively considers regular time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds to reflect their collective view. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public perception differs from expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn based on the difference between their buy and sell prices.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Perugia vs Vado match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact trading behavior here. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence traders' decisions. A surprising result in a related match or a shift in overall team performance could also cause the market to move as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.