TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Peru vs. Honduras
Volume:
$383,959
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Peru and Honduras.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction where all three outcomes (Peru win, Honduras win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets with consistent logic across all three outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely — they contain a fatal logical flaw where a single match result would trigger YES on all three markets simultaneously, violating basic market design. Trade only on Polymarket, where Peru win, Honduras win, and Draw are properly mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets (Peru win, Honduras win, Tie) resolve to YES for their respective outcomes, creating a logical impossibility where exactly one match result triggers YES on all three markets at once. Key quote: 'If Peru wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Honduras wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (Peru win → Peru market YES, Honduras win → Honduras market YES, Draw → Draw market YES). All other markets resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Peru wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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