TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 10 at 6:30AM ET: If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats". If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 10 at 6:30AM ET: If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats". If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of traders participating on Polymarket, and is constantly updating based on new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Perth Wildcats vs. New Zealand Breakers NBL championship series. The platform will verify the winner through publicly available sources and declare the outcome accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Perth Wildcats or the New Zealand Breakers would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected game results during the regular season or playoffs could also alter trader sentiment. Major news regarding team coaching changes or internal conflicts could also move the market. Finally, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the teams' chances could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price.