TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 23 at 6:30AM ET: If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats". If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 23 at 6:30AM ET: If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats". If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, whereas this market’s prices are driven by real money trading. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy shares, driving up the price and potentially creating an arbitrage opportunity. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating forecast of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the NBL championship series, determining which team is crowned the winner. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries, coaching changes, or unexpected team performance during the regular season and playoffs could all shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in early playoff rounds, or strong performances by underdog teams, would likely cause price fluctuations. Additionally, any news regarding team dynamics, player trades, or changes in strategic approaches could also impact the market. Monitoring these events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the implied probabilities.