TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawks?

Volume:
$279,915

Illawarra Hawks

 - Kalshi

Illawarra Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 8:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illawarra Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122,785
N/A
N/A
$88,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 192.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Perth Wildcats

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,364
N/A
N/A
$47,931
Settled
No
polymarket

Perth Wildcats (-9.5)

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawks

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 10m
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Perth Wildcats and the Illawarra Hawks. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule, and remains open if postponed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the platforms, rendering the Kalshi market effectively unresolvable in the context of the current event.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It appears to be referencing a game over a year in the future. Focus solely on the Polymarket market, but be aware of potential postponement/cancellation risks.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the NBL game scheduled for October 31, 2024 at 6:30 AM ET. If canceled, resolves 50-50. If postponed, market remains open. "In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 31 at 6:30AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the winner of the NBL game scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT. "If Perth Wildcats wins the Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Wildcats men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 31 at 6:30AM ET: If the Perth Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Perth Wildcats". If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Australia NBL basketball game between Illawarra Hawks and Perth Wildcats, scheduled for October 31, 2026, at 6:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This means prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks often have limits on bet sizes, whereas prediction markets can sometimes accommodate larger wagers. Both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-making activity. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket might have a more active trading community focused on basketball, while Kalshi may attract a broader range of participants. These differences can lead to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities reflected in the prices.