TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Persita and Garuda Yaksa. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Persita, Garuda Yaksa, or a tied result will occur.
The event resolves based on the result of the Persita vs Garuda Yaksa professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Persita wins, the 'Persita' market resolves to Yes. If Garuda Yaksa wins, the 'Garuda Yaksa' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform, Kalshi, is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd.' Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction market prices incorporating information not yet reflected in sportsbook odds, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches, as traders continuously update their assessments. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities accordingly. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own predictions and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Persita vs Garuda Yaksa match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Resolution will occur shortly after the conclusion of the match, allowing traders to collect their winnings or fulfill their obligations. The platform will verify the result against established standards to ensure a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Significant public endorsements or analyses from sports commentators might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Persita vs Garuda Yaksa match is crucial for informed trading.