TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Indonesia Super League. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the match result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Persija vs Persik Kediri professional Indonesia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026: Persija win, Persik Kediri win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, particularly when there’s strong public interest and informed trading activity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the likelihood of the outcome of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Persija vs Persik Kediri match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the outcome is realized.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Persija vs Persik Kediri match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will settle to 100 if the outcome occurs, and 0 if it does not. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Persija or Persik Kediri could significantly shift the odds. Also, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. A surprising result in a related match involving either team could also impact trading behavior in this market.