TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:55 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Persija Jakarta and Arema FC, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Persija Jakarta" if Persija Jakarta are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arema FC" if Arema FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Persija Jakarta and Arema FC, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Persija Jakarta" if Persija Jakarta are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arema FC" if Arema FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by biases or attempts to balance their book. This market, driven by actual money at stake, can sometimes offer a more accurate forecast, especially as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. However, sportsbook odds can still be a valuable point of comparison when considering potential outcomes for this event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of either Persija Jakarta or Arema FC scoring first. The volume traded also indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possibility.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Persija Jakarta vs. Arema FC match. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on official match records and widely accepted sports reporting. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted which team would score first.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Persija Jakarta or Arema FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also sway traders' opinions. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could contribute to shifts in the market, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Public sentiment and betting patterns could also play a role.