TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Persebaya and PSS Sleman. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Persebaya wins, PSS Sleman wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Persebaya vs PSS Sleman professional Indonesia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Persebaya or PSS Sleman markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; penalties or extra time do not count. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Indonesian Liga 1 match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking view of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Persebaya vs PSS Sleman match as reported by official league sources. The winning outcome will be determined by the team that wins the match, with draws also being a possible outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or changes to the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even pre-game interviews with players or managers can all contribute to shifts in the market. Major upsets in other Liga 1 matches could also influence perceptions of team strength and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.