TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Persebaya and Persijap Jepara. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Persebaya wins, Persijap Jepara wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Persebaya vs Persijap Jepara professional Indonesia Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the named team wins the match within regular time, or if the match ends in a tie for the 'Tie' market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time and stoppage, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, which can sometimes lead to discrepancies. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, represents a different perspective, aggregating the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available about the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the potential outcomes of the Persebaya vs Persijap Jepara match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Indonesian Liga 1 match between Persebaya and Persijap Jepara, as determined by the league organizers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final result will be sourced from official league data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis and predictions, could also cause the market to react. Major announcements related to player form or tactical changes could also drive trading activity and price adjustments in this market.