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Persebaya Surabaya vs. Madura United - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$14

Persebaya Surabaya

 - Polymarket

Persebaya Surabaya - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 12:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Persebaya Surabaya

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Madura United

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Persebaya Surabaya and Madura United, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Persebaya Surabaya" if Persebaya Surabaya are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Madura United" if Madura United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Persebaya Surabaya and Madura United, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Persebaya Surabaya" if Persebaya Surabaya are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Madura United" if Madura United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the first goalscorer market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each team scoring first changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the volume is $14 over the last 24 hours, with a total volume of $14. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding which team is favored to break the deadlock in the Persebaya Surabaya versus Madura United match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team lineups than sportsbooks, offering a potentially more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Persebaya Surabaya versus Madura United match. Any goals scored during regular play, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered. The outcome will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Persebaya Surabaya or Madura United would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from respected football analysts, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to impact trading activity.