TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
A football match between two university teams tests their ability to score more points than their opponent. The outcome reflects both individual player performance and collective team strategy.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, whereas this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information sources, analytical approaches, and risk assessments between prediction market participants and sportsbook operators. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, indicating growing confidence in an outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers prices. The market depth and order book provide transparency into the level of conviction behind current prices.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Penn vs Brown game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution is based on publicly available information and does not rely on subjective interpretation. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the outcome has been officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Penn or Brown team would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even major news regarding team morale could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, although this market is ultimately driven by individual trading decisions on Kalshi.