TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:21h:03m
$
This prediction market group centers around the college football game between Penn State and Washington, scheduled for November 7th. Markets cover the winner of the game, point spreads, over/under totals, and various player/team statistics. The markets provide opportunities to predict the outcome and specific aspects of the game.
In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Washington, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if either Penn St. or Washington wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Washington, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. The efficiency of this market means that odds can change rapidly as new information emerges, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. This market’s current pricing reflects a unique aggregate of opinions.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, influencing how prices are formed. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information or varying risk appetites among traders on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across venues, ultimately driving prices toward convergence.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Penn State vs. Washington game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to collect on their winning positions based on the final outcome of this market. It’s important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Penn State or Washington would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes or significant news regarding team morale could also move the market. Game-day weather forecasts, particularly if severe, may influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or player matchups could lead to adjustments in the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Traders will continuously assess these factors and adjust their positions accordingly.