TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Washington wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Washington wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:20m
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This set of markets tracks the point differential in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, with outcomes determined by the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Penn St. vs Washington college football game scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If Washington wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "Washington wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Penn St. wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "Penn St. wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information or perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game’s outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that market participants have access to, or place greater weight on, different information than those setting the sportsbook lines. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Penn St. vs Washington game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will reflect the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the game, and contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100; those predicting an incorrect spread will settle to 0.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either Penn St. or Washington would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.