TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of Penn State and Michigan in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total points scored by both Penn State and Michigan in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each threshold, ranging from 24.5 to 66.5 points, has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they may have engaged with. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe the actual total points will differ from the sportsbook’s line, the price of contracts representing that outcome will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Penn State-Michigan game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likely total points scored. The market efficiently incorporates diverse perspectives and data points.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total points scored in the Penn State versus Michigan football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress as it nears the resolution date to understand the potential outcomes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Penn State or Michigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, as the game draws closer, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the likely point total could drive price fluctuations in this market.