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Penn St. vs Michigan: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Penn St. vs Michigan?

Volume:
$1,014,300

Michigan wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Michigan wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 7:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,345
N/A
N/A
$35,023
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,934
N/A
N/A
$22,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208,589
N/A
N/A
$140,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137,715
N/A
N/A
$90,593
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,541
N/A
N/A
$54,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,010
N/A
N/A
$49,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,963
N/A
N/A
$40,681
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,640
N/A
N/A
$34,985
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,144
N/A
N/A
$42,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,116
N/A
N/A
$33,219
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,764
N/A
N/A
$29,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,634
N/A
N/A
$16,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,823
N/A
N/A
$7,842
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,764
N/A
N/A
$9,981
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,205
N/A
N/A
$8,838
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,688
N/A
N/A
$6,120
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,926
N/A
N/A
$6,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,037
N/A
N/A
$4,271
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,901
N/A
N/A
$5,806
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,829
N/A
N/A
$5,208
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,767
N/A
N/A
$4,179
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,328
N/A
N/A
$3,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,858
N/A
N/A
$3,538
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,672
N/A
N/A
$2,444
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,664
N/A
N/A
$2,981
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Michigan will win the college football game against Penn St. by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 98.0% probability to Michigan winning by over 2.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the Penn St. vs Michigan game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If Michigan wins by exceeding the specified point margin, markets labeled 'Michigan wins by over X points' resolve to Yes; if Penn St. wins by exceeding their specified margin, corresponding 'Penn St. wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Penn State vs Michigan spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $990,587. Total volume for this market is $1,014,300. This allows traders to see how much activity is happening and understand the market's sentiment regarding the likely outcome of the game, all within Kalshi.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. These differences can present opportunities for traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the actual spread falls within the contract's range.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Penn State vs Michigan football game. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the actual spread would be above or below the purchased contract's spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's final score to understand the resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Penn State or Michigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or even significant shifts in public betting patterns at sportsbooks could all contribute to price fluctuations. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market.