TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
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419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between Penn State and Michigan. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on in-game momentum and strategy in the closing stages of play.
If Michigan wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. Analyzing these differences can provide a more comprehensive view of the event’s probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is winning at the end of the 4th quarter of the Penn State vs Michigan game. The result will be based on official game statistics and reporting, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market settles.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Penn State or Michigan would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, and even significant shifts in public sentiment as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can all contribute to movements in the market price. Unexpected in-game events during earlier quarters could also foreshadow potential 4th quarter outcomes.