TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of a college football game between Penn State and Michigan. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific numerical values during that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Penn State vs Michigan college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points, and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined third-quarter points exceed the respective threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If sportsbook odds suggest a higher probability of a particular result than is reflected in the price of contracts here, it could present an opportunity for informed traders. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the Penn State vs Michigan game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter were over or under 10.5, as determined by the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Penn State or Michigan team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the scoring environment, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their expectations for the 3rd quarter total, causing the price of this market to fluctuate.