TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Penn State and Michigan. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential exclusively during the second quarter of the Penn State vs Michigan college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team's lead exceeds the specified margin for that market within the second quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each evaluating a different point spread threshold for the second quarter performance only.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the game, and comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Penn State vs Michigan game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result reported by the game's governing body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Penn State or Michigan teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks may also play a role in shaping the price of this market.