This event group covers the Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Carolina Hurricanes NHL game scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds, and spread betting. Resolution depends on the final combined goal count and margin of victory.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All over/under total goals markets resolve consistently across platforms: the Over outcome triggers when combined goals exceed the stated threshold by exactly 1 (e.g., O/U 4.5 Over = 5+ goals). Moneyline and spread logic are also unified. Shootout goals are explicitly counted by Polymarket; Kalshi does not mention shootouts but standard NHL scoring applies.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NHL final score as reported on nhl.com, including overtime periods. Shootout outcomes add one goal to the winning team's total for Polymarket; standard NHL scoring conventions apply to Kalshi markets.
Core resolution logic:
Total Goals Markets (Kalshi over X.5 / Polymarket O/U): Resolve Over if combined Penguins + Hurricanes goals exceed the threshold by 1 (e.g., over 4.5 or O/U 4.5 = 5+ goals required for Over).
Moneyline (Polymarket): Resolves to Penguins if Pittsburgh wins; Hurricanes if Carolina wins, based on final score including overtime.
Spread (Polymarket Hurricanes -1.5): Resolves to Hurricanes if Carolina wins by 2+ goals; otherwise Penguins.
Shootout Rule (Polymarket explicit): One goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes in shootout scenarios.
Postponement: All markets remain open until the game is completed.
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Shootout Resolution: Polymarket explicitly adds one goal to the winning team's score for over/under and spread resolution. Kalshi does not mention shootouts; standard NHL scoring (where shootout is a tiebreaker, not additional goals) would apply unless otherwise specified by Kalshi's house rules.
Game Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed. No early resolution.
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): Both platforms resolve all markets 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no rescheduled makeup game.
Overtime Goals: All overtime goals count toward the combined total for over/under resolution on both platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final score is official on nhl.com, including any overtime periods and shootout determination. Expected resolution on March 10, 2026 in the evening (post-game), or later if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.