TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:23h:04m
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This event group covers markets on the November 8th NHL game between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Anaheim Ducks. Markets include a prediction on the game winner and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored. All markets specify handling for postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 8 at 8:00PM ET: If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 8 at 8:00PM ET: If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of many traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, both aim to accurately forecast the result of the Penguins-Ducks game, and discrepancies can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading activity, and risk appetite. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and reflected in the market prices. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. While both Polymarket and Predict aim to predict the same outcome for the Penguins-Ducks game, these inherent differences can create temporary discrepancies in the probabilities offered. These differences are a natural part of decentralized prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Penguins-Ducks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the official game statistics published by the relevant sports league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Penguins-Ducks game takes place. Key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant news regarding team performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports experts could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to cause movement in the market, reflecting the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the ongoing flow of information.