TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche NHL game scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread betting (-1.5 Avalanche). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket express over/under thresholds using different language conventions. Kalshi uses fractional notation (over 4.5) without explicit goal counts, while Polymarket clarifies the exact goal threshold (5 or more for 4.5 line). Both should resolve identically in practice, but the phrasing divergence creates interpretation risk.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket's explicit goal-count language as your settlement reference. For Kalshi markets, cross-reference the fractional threshold: over 4.5 = 5+ goals, over 5.5 = 6+ goals, etc. Confirm Kalshi's official settlement methodology before large positions. Moneyline and spread markets are fully aligned.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Explicit over/under resolution: O/U 4.5 resolves Over if combined score is 5 or more goals; O/U 5.5 resolves Over if 6 or more; O/U 6.5 resolves Over if 7 or more; O/U 7.5 resolves Over if 8 or more. Moneyline resolves to winner (Penguins or Avalanche). Spread (-1.5 Avalanche) resolves to Avalanche if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Penguins. Shootout adds 1 goal to winner's score.Kalshi:
Eight over/under markets using fractional thresholds: over 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5. Each resolves Yes if combined goals exceed the stated threshold. Phrasing: 'If over 4.5 total combined goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit goal-count clarification provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.