TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pendik and Van, focusing on determining whether Pendik, Van, or neither team wins after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is based solely on the regulation time score, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game is canceled or significantly rescheduled, the market will resolve fairly according to predefined guidelines.
The event determines the winner of the Pendik vs Van professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are evaluated: Pendik win, Van win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' outcome is triggered. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what is captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks establish odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially revealing insights from a broader range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even external factors not fully accounted for by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets move differently than sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Pendik vs Van match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate diverse opinions and provide a forward-looking estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Pendik vs Van match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Pendik or Van would likely cause price fluctuations. Significant changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match announcements about tactical changes, could influence trader sentiment. Public statements from coaches or players, or even large trading volume from informed participants, could also move the market.