TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Penarol vs Progreso: Spread
kalshi

Penarol vs Progreso: Spread

Volume:
$17,066

Penarol wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Penarol wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penarol wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,854
N/A
N/A
$5,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Progreso wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,276
N/A
N/A
$2,234
Settled
No
kalshi

Penarol wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,758
N/A
N/A
$2,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Progreso wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,737
N/A
N/A
$1,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Penarol wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$441
N/A
N/A
$441
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Penarol and Progreso, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Penarol vs Progreso Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Resolution is based solely on regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), with extra time and penalty kicks excluded. Four distinct outcome thresholds exist: Penarol winning by more than 2.5 goals, Penarol winning by more than 1.5 goals, Progreso winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Progreso winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate condition under which the respective market would resolve to 'Yes'. The governing rules emphasize that the event operator is not officially affiliated with the league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.