TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pena Sport and Huesca in the Copa del Rey, focusing solely on the result after regular time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's immediate conclusion without considering prolonged gameplay scenarios.
The event resolves based on the result of the Pena Sport vs Huesca professional Copa del Rey soccer game originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Pena Sport wins, the "Pena Sport" market resolves to Yes. If Huesca wins, the "Huesca" market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration for all outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. As a result, this market may offer different implied probabilities than those available at sportsbooks, potentially providing opportunities for arbitrage or value betting. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Pena Sport vs Huesca match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The more traders who believe Pena Sport will win, for example, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Huesca. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Pena Sport vs Huesca match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the regulation time moneyline – meaning the winner of the match excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The platform will verify the final score against official sources to determine which team secured victory, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Pena Sport or Huesca would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also drive price fluctuations in this market.