TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls, as participants have ‘skin in the game.’ You may find that the implied probability from this market differs from sportsbook odds, potentially revealing areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. This can be a valuable tool for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and sentiment, providing a constantly updated assessment of the game’s likely result. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system driven by the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pelicans-Heat game as reported by a trusted sports data source. The specific outcome—which team wins—will determine which shares pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final price of their shares at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time game developments, such as a dominant early performance by one team, would undoubtedly shift the probabilities reflected in the market. Public perception and media coverage leading up to and during the game can also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory.