TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams, Pcific Esports and BBL Esports, will compete in a Valorant match on October 8, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on the second map of their match, determining the market result based on the winning team.
If Pcific Esports wins map 2 in the Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier 2026: Pcific Esports vs. BBL Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If BBL Esports wins map 2 in the Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier 2026: Pcific Esports vs. BBL Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying information not yet reflected in traditional betting lines. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price constantly adapts to new information and changing sentiment among traders. The current top outcome, as indicated by market price, is BBL Esports winning map 2.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of map 2 in the Pacific Esports versus BBL Esports match. The winning team of map 2 will determine the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the verified results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Pacific Esports or BBL Esports could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even during warm-up sessions, might also provide valuable signals. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also lead to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning map 2 has the potential to move this market.