TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 6:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Pau FC and Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC" if Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Pau FC and Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC" if Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that are more accurate than those initially offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. However, discrepancies can exist due to factors like differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially outpacing sportsbook odds movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome – Pau FC scoring first or Stade Lavallois scoring first – are bought and sold. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Pau FC will score first, the price of those shares increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Pau FC vs. Stade Lavallois match will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official match records and will be determined by the occurrence of the first goal scored during regulation time, any added time, but not including penalty shootouts. The outcome will be based on official sources.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Pau FC or Stade Lavallois would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team's offensive strengths or defensive weaknesses could further contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information.