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420,493

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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Pau FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Pau FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC?

Volume:
$71,953

Pau

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pau

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,959
N/A
N/A
$16,789
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pau FC

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,160
N/A
N/A
$10,931
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Pau FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stade Lavallois

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,668
N/A
N/A
$3,215
Settled
No
polymarket

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Ligue 2 soccer match between Pau FC and Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Pau FC winning, Stade Lavallois winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same criteria: the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with similar handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Ligue 2 statistics (https://www.ligue2.fr/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official final score as recognized by the Ligue 2 governing body.
  • If the official score is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Markets will remain open if the game is postponed and resolve based on the completed match.
  • If a game is canceled without a makeup game, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official results are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Pau FC and Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC.

Kalshi

The event involves three possible outcomes for the Pau vs Stade Lavallois professional Ligue 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026: a win for Pau, a win for Stade Lavallois, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves as the winner. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by traders willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bet types than are currently available for this market. It's a useful comparison to see where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can arise due to several factors. These platforms operate with different user bases, trading incentives, and liquidity levels, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design – including fees, margin requirements, and order types – can vary between Polymarket and Kalshi, leading to differing valuations. Market participants may also interpret available information and event catalysts differently, resulting in divergent probabilities expressed through trading activity on each platform.