TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:03 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Pau FC and Grenoble Foot 38, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grenoble Foot 38" if Grenoble Foot 38 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Pau FC and Grenoble Foot 38, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grenoble Foot 38" if Grenoble Foot 38 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully priced into the initial lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first in the Pau FC vs. Grenoble match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. The market remains open for trading until the event concludes, allowing prices to reflect new information and shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Pau FC vs. Grenoble match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be reported on Polymarket following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players on either Pau FC or Grenoble Foot 38, or changes in weather conditions could all impact the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, general news about either club, or even broader football trends, could influence traders and cause fluctuations in the price of shares on Polymarket.