TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pattani FC and Rasisalai United in Thailand's top league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether either team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie.
The event covers a single professional soccer match where three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Pattani FC, a win for Rasisalai United, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves positively if its designated outcome occurs at the end of regular time—no extra time or penalty shootouts are considered. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time. The event explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty phases, focusing solely on results within the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets. Examining these differences can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and can be influenced by news, injuries, or any other information relevant to the match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated assessment of the most likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pattani FC vs Rasisalai United match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant tactical changes announced by the coaches, could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could create price movements, as could any public statements from key figures associated with either team. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential shifts in the market's assessment.