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$142.8b

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$104,324,478

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2,660,434,525

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$1,604,169,862

483,380

Markets across

36,605

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,881

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

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62%

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Patriots vs. Jaguars
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Patriots vs. Jaguars?

Volume:
$10,941,535

Jacksonville

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jacksonville

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,830,601
N/A
N/A
$3,064,871
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$366,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$345,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$79,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$56,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 38.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 34.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jaguars O/U 23.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 32.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 331

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the point spread for the New England Patriots versus the Jacksonville Jaguars NFL game. Currently, the consensus probability of the Jaguars covering the -2.5 spread is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official game result as reported by https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 27th, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market has a fundamental error regarding the game date and win condition, rendering it unresolvable in the context of the intended event.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market due to its illogical setup. Focus exclusively on the Polymarket markets for accurate and reliable resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official NFL game result. If the Patriots win, the market resolves to 'Patriots'. If the Jaguars win, the market resolves to 'Jaguars'. Tie/cancellation rules apply.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Patriots or Jaguars win the game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. This is a clear error in the market setup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official winner of the professional football game between New England and Jacksonville originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. Postponements are handled as follows: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management, while prediction markets prioritize accurately forecasting the outcome. However, both aim to represent probabilities, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Patriots-Jaguars game.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism for determining probabilities. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This means that differing user bases, trading strategies, and market liquidity can all contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, each platform may attract different types of traders – some more focused on short-term speculation, others on longer-term predictions. These variations can lead to differing assessments of the likelihood of various outcomes in the Patriots-Jaguars game, even though they are tracking the same event.