TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, they’ll buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Patriots-Bills game as reported by a major sports news outlet. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive payouts based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Bills would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trader behavior and, consequently, the market prices. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.