TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Thai League 1 soccer match between Pathum United and Ayutthaya Utd. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The market covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event determines the winner of the Pathum United vs Ayutthaya Utd professional Thai League 1 soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: Pathum United win, Ayutthaya Utd win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the stated rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the broader range of participants in a prediction market. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of some sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Pathum United vs Ayutthaya Utd match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is announced, allowing for a clear and efficient settlement of all contracts.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely cause price fluctuations. Match previews, expert analyses, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, in-game events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, could lead to substantial shifts in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively in this market up until Oct 10, 2026.