TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pasto and Fortaleza in Colombia's top league. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Pasto, Fortaleza, or a tied outcome will prevail.
The event resolves based on the result of the Pasto vs Fortaleza professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probabilities of certain results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Pasto vs Fortaleza match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pasto vs Fortaleza match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, can impact the perceived probabilities. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements. Major shifts in betting patterns on sportsbooks could also influence trading activity on Kalshi.