TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Alianza FC Valledupar will win their professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game against Pasto after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Alianza FC Valledupar a 63.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 28.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 19, 2026, as the result will determine whether Alianza FC Valledupar secures the win and resolves the market to ‘Yes’ by the resolution date of October 20, 2026.
The event involves determining the winner of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, between Pasto and Alianza FC Valledupar. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: Pasto wins, Alianza FC Valledupar wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. All markets operate independently, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league or any team involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can express that belief by buying 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and shifting the implied probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pasto vs Alianza FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can quickly shift the price. Finally, any public statements from key figures associated with either team could also move this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their expectations.