TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
$
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between Partizan and U-BT Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League. The markets ask forecasters to predict which team will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for November 2 at 2:30PM ET: If the Partizan win, the market will resolve to "Partizan". If the U-BT Cluj-Napoca win, the market will resolve to "U-BT Cluj-Napoca". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game as scheduled. If postponed within 48 hours, markets stay open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolution. Kalshi notes no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge for several reasons. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Partizan vs. Cluj-Napoca game. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. While both platforms aim to reflect the true probability of an outcome, these factors contribute to potential discrepancies in the odds offered for this market.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Partizan vs. Cluj-Napoca game, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive outcome, as this will determine the settlement of all outstanding positions. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could shift probabilities. Unexpected results in other games involving these teams could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader events affecting the sport, such as rule changes or controversies, might have an impact. Real-time game statistics during the event itself will be a major catalyst, with each point or possession potentially causing price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals is key to informed trading.