This event group covers the professional Euroleague basketball matchup between KK Partizan Belgrade and Real Madrid scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins or whether the game is postponed or canceled.
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution logic creates a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Partizan win or Real Madrid win) map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly uses a ternary outcome structure.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market has a critical data integrity failure and cannot be resolved as currently written. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version. Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic to distinguish between the two teams' outcomes.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes structure - both Partizan victory and Real Madrid victory resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Key Quote: If Real Madrid wins resolves to Yes; If Partizan wins also resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: Ternary outcome structure - Partizan win resolves to Partizan, Real Madrid win resolves to Real Madrid, cancellation resolves 50-50. Properly distinguishes all scenarios. Key Quote: If Partizan win resolves to Partizan; If Real Madrid win resolves to Real Madrid; If canceled with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.