TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market follows the result of a professional basketball contest between Parma Permsky Kray and BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg. The outcome is determined by the winning team of the match as scheduled. The market stays active if the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours, and resolves fairly if the game is cancelled or does not begin within that period.
The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Russia VTB United basketball game between Parma Permsky Kray and BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg, scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can trade in a way that pushes the prediction market odds in a different direction, potentially offering a better value than what’s available at a sportsbook.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Parma Permsky Kray versus BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg game in the Russian VTB United League. The winning team, as determined by the official league standings and game results, will be the outcome on which this market settles. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any losing positions based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event could also shift expectations. Furthermore, general news about team morale, training updates, or even weather conditions (if affecting travel) could all contribute to price fluctuations. Major announcements related to the Russian VTB United League itself could also move this market, as could any significant shifts in public opinion or betting activity.