TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Parma Permsky Kray
- Kalshi
Parma Permsky Kray - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 18h:10m:41s
$
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a VTB United League basketball game between Parma Perm and BC Samara. The markets ask forecasters to predict which team will win the game, with resolution based on the final score, including overtime. Postponement or cancellation scenarios are also addressed.
In the upcoming VTB United League game, scheduled for November 3 at 11:00AM ET: If the Parma Perm win, the market will resolve to "Parma Perm". If the BC Samara win, the market will resolve to "BC Samara". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional basketball game between BC Samara and Parma Permsky Kray, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026, at 9:30 AM EST. If BC Samara wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Parma Permsky Kray’s market resolves to No, and vice versa. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those seen for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. The current volume of $203 suggests active trading and a developing consensus on the Parma Perm vs. BC Samara game.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the teams. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanics of each platform – such as fees, margin requirements, and market-making incentives – can influence pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Parma Permsky Kray wins at n/a, while Kalshi leans toward Parma Perm vs. BC Samara at 50.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Parma Perm vs. BC Samara game, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result of this market. Trading will cease prior to this date.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either Parma Perm or BC Samara would likely cause price movement. Game-day performance, including early scoring or key defensive plays, will also be closely watched. Broader basketball news, such as upsets in other games or changes in league standings, could indirectly influence sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the teams' management or ownership could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market.