TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 total goals will be scored in the Parma Calcio versus Torino Serie A soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the combined goals exceed 1.5 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 20, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during the Parma Calcio vs Torino professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It’s also common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability of that outcome, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. The goal is to buy low and sell high, profiting from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Parma Calcio versus Torino match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match reports and widely available sports news outlets, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Parma Calcio or Torino would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or potential match postponements could introduce volatility. Furthermore, any major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.