TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Torino will win the Parma Calcio vs Torino professional Serie A soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Torino a 90.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on October 19, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the professional Serie A soccer game between Parma Calcio and Torino scheduled for Oct 19, 2026. If Parma Calcio wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Parma Calcio' market resolves to Yes. If Torino wins under the same conditions, the 'Torino' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, as different factors influence each type of odds-making process.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Parma vs Torino match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and the current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Parma vs Torino match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual events of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or changes in coaching staff could have a significant impact. Additionally, public perception and media coverage surrounding the match can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.