TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming women's professional soccer match between Parma Calcio and Ternana. Bettors can speculate on whether Parma Calcio, Ternana, or neither team (a tie) will win the match within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Parma Calcio vs Ternana professional Serie A Femminile soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider results within regular time and do not account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation resolutions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can trade against it, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs information and adjusts its assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Parma vs Ternana match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi after the event concludes. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, providing clarity for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Parma or Ternana could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical adjustments announced before the game, or even in-play developments during the match itself, could lead to price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to movements in this market.