TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A football match between Parma Calcio 1913 and Hellas Verona FC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track the match outcome (Parma win, Verona win, draw) and whether both teams score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic is inconsistent between Polymarket's draw market and its win markets, and Kalshi's both-teams-score market lacks explicit cancellation guidance. This creates ambiguity in a tail-risk scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Lega Serie A communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, request clarification from both platforms on their specific handling. The draw market's YES resolution on cancellation is unusual and may indicate a drafting error; hedge accordingly.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Parma Win & Verona Win Markets):
Resolves NO on full cancellation with no make-up game. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'Polymarket (Draw Market):
Resolves YES on full cancellation with no make-up game. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi (Both Teams Score Market):
No explicit cancellation clause. Resolves YES if both teams score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No guidance on postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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