TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:00h:35m
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This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Parma Calcio 1913 or Bologna FC 1909, will score more goals in the second half of a Serie A soccer match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The market considers stoppage time as part of the second half. It outlines a clear hierarchy of data sources for resolution.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Parma Calcio 1913 and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Parma Calcio 1913" if Parma Calcio 1913 score more goals than Bologna FC 1909 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Parma Calcio 1913 and Bologna FC 1909 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 score more goals than Parma Calcio 1913 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Parma Calcio 1913 and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Parma Calcio 1913" if Parma Calcio 1913 score more goals than Bologna FC 1909 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Parma Calcio 1913 and Bologna FC 1909 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 score more goals than Parma Calcio 1913 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Parma vs Bologna match. Trading volume, currently at $0, also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting prices – order books on one versus automated market makers on the other – can contribute to differing valuations of the same event. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why the two platforms may present different probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by which team – Parma Calcio 1913 or Bologna FC 1909 – wins the second half of the match. The final score and official match results will be used to verify the outcome, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses, as this will influence the final determination.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Parma Calcio 1913 or Bologna FC 1909 would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trader sentiment. Even significant tactical adjustments announced by either manager before kickoff could move the market. Finally, any unexpected events during the first half of the match will undoubtedly be reflected in the price of this market.