TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
In the same competitive Dota 2 event, PARIVISION and Team Spirit will face off in a best-of-three series. The result depends entirely on which team claims the first map of their encounter.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves at fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely winner or a potential arbitrage opportunity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups – bettors at sportsbooks versus traders on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winner of the first map. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the first map played in the PARIVISION versus Team Spirit CS2 match. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either PARIVISION or Team Spirit could shift trader sentiment. Significant updates from analysts or prominent figures in the CS2 community could also impact the market. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in preceding matches or warm-up rounds leading up to the event could influence how traders assess their chances of winning the first map. Major upsets in other concurrent tournaments may also indirectly affect this market.