TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Dota 2 match between two teams, PARIVISION and Team Spirit, scheduled for October 26, 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in the contest. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the market accordingly based on predefined conditions.
The event determines the winner of the PARI Universe 2026 Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Team Spirit, scheduled for October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the match as it occurs under normal circumstances, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. However, if the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. Should the match start but later be forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more people trade. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as they are influenced by different factors and participant motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems to be a fair value. Traders can take either the 'buy' side, expressing confidence in an outcome, or the 'sell' side, betting against it. This dynamic interaction between buyers and sellers determines the current odds displayed on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the PARIVISION vs. Team Spirit match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine which team emerged victorious. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the final, official outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team rosters, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in prior matches for either PARIVISION or Team Spirit could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, external factors like weather conditions or venue changes, if applicable, might play a role. Even significant public discussion or analyst predictions regarding the match could drive volume and alter the odds as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.