TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Paris Saint-Germain FC and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC score more goals than Olympique Lyonnais in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Paris Saint-Germain FC and Olympique Lyonnais score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais score more goals than Paris Saint-Germain FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Paris Saint-Germain FC and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC score more goals than Olympique Lyonnais in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Paris Saint-Germain FC and Olympique Lyonnais score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais score more goals than Paris Saint-Germain FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely result. Early in the market, you might find discrepancies, but as more information becomes available and more traders participate, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with those of more informed sportsbooks. However, prediction markets can sometimes react more quickly to new information or signals than traditional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the PSG vs. Lyon second half. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team—Paris Saint-Germain or Olympique Lyonnais—wins the second half of the match. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by the event’s conclusion and verified by the platform.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either PSG or Lyon would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager before the match could also shift probabilities. In-game events during the first half, such as a red card or an early goal, will undoubtedly impact trading activity. Even broader factors, like weather conditions or referee assignments, could subtly influence trader sentiment and move the market before Oct 26, 2026.